Besa Biel/Bienne vs Romontois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
14º
3º
43
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TPA
2 - 3
BBB
24%
20%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
BBB
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BBB
5 - 1
GUM
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 2
BBB
27%
21%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Romontois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ROM
2 - 3
FCA
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GUM
2 - 0
ROM
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 2
FCC
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 2
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |