Bazenheid vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
59.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
16º
10º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DSG
1 - 1
BAZ
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
BAZ
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 3
FCT
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 2
BAZ
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAZ
2 - 3
TAG
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCW
74%
14%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UST
2 - 4
WIL
31%
22%
48%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DSG
1 - 1
WIL
26%
20%
55%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |