Bazenheid vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
5º
33
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
BAZ
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAZ
2 - 0
SVS
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 4
BAZ
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAZ
3 - 1
LAC
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
BAZ
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCB
29%
20%
50%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WID
1 - 0
WIL
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UST
0 - 2
WIL
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 2
SVS
45%
20%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |