Bayern München II vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
66.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1995 |
WAC
1 - 1
BAY
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1995 |
BAY
1 - 1
FSV
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
SVS
6 - 0
BAY
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1995 |
BAY
0 - 1
ULM
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
EGE
4 - 0
BAY
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1995 |
HSV
3 - 3
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 1
F95
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
BYM
3 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 1
KSC
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
S04
4 - 2
BRE
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |