Bayern München II vs SV Wacker Burghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
18º
6º
48
9º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
6 - 3
EIN
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 2
ANS
77%
14%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
BAY
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 2
ILL
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 4
BAY
34%
23%
43%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SV Wacker Burghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
3 - 1
WAC
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
WAC
5 - 3
MEM
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
WAC
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WAC
3 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 1
WAC
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |