Bayern München II vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
SPS
1 - 2
BAY
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SSD
1 - 3
BAY
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
LUB
3 - 1
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
STU
1 - 0
EIN
90%
8%
2%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
SSV
3 - 0
STU
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
STU
3 - 1
BAU
90%
8%
2%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
WUR
0 - 3
STU
10%
17%
73%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
STU
4 - 0
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |