Bayern München II vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 5
BAY
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 4
BAY
25%
24%
52%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 6
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BAY
6 - 1
WUR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
BAY
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
NUR
3 - 3
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
NUR
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
NUR
2 - 2
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 2
NUR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
NUR
0 - 1
186
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |