Bayern München II vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 2
SVS
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ING
1 - 0
BAY
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAY
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAY
4 - 1
PFU
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
HES
1 - 2
BAY
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NUR
4 - 0
MEM
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SVS
3 - 0
NUR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NUR
1 - 3
ING
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PFU
2 - 2
NUR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NUR
4 - 1
HES
32%
23%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |