Bayern München II vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SVS
2 - 1
BAY
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
FEU
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
AAA
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
OFC
3 - 1
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
4 - 2
186
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOT
0 - 3
HOF
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
ELV
2 - 0
NOT
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NOT
0 - 3
SSV
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAI
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SVS
3 - 1
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |