Bayern München II vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAY
2 - 2
AMB
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
AUG
1 - 4
BAY
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 0
SCH
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 2
BAY
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SSV
1 - 1
BAY
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 1
ILL
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 0
WAC
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 2
ILL
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ILL
1 - 3
BUC
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
186
0 - 1
ILL
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |