Bayern München II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
BAY
3 - 5
WAT
27%
21%
52%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 0
BAY
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
BAY
5 - 3
WER
61%
19%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BYM
5 - 3
BAY
99%
1%
0%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BAY
2 - 1
STU
19%
17%
64%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
KFC
0 - 1
HOM
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1993 |
HOM
2 - 1
STP
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
HER
1 - 0
HOM
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
HOM
0 - 0
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
HOM
1 - 2
HAN
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |