FC Baulmes vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Baulmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LAC
1 - 1
BAU
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
WOH
1 - 1
BAU
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 0
BEL
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
CON
4 - 1
BAU
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 0
WIL
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 2
YFJ
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 4
FCV
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 2
LUG
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 0
LOC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUG
21%
24%
54%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |