Bastia-Borgo vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
14º
12º
36
2º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia-Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
STA
3 - 1
FBB
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 0
LOR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
FBB
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 2
AFV
67%
18%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ASB
2 - 1
FBB
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 2
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
USB
4 - 0
AUB
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
DIN
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
AUB
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |