FC Basel U15 vs FC Thun U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
3º
2º
12
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
AFF
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 7
BAS
26%
20%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
SOL
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
37%
21%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAU
8 - 1
THU
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
THU
3 - 5
YOB
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFF
3 - 1
THU
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |