FC Basel U15 vs AFF-FFV Fribourg U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
3º
2º
29
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 7
BAS
26%
20%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
SOL
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
37%
21%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
7 - 0
LCO
93%
6%
2%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SER
3 - 3
BAS
35%
21%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFF-FFV Fribourg U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFF
3 - 1
THU
75%
14%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 2
AFF
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 2
AFF
66%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFF
2 - 2
NEX
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 4
AFF
19%
19%
63%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |