FC Basel U15 vs AFF-FFV Fribourg U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
3º
2º
29
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 7
BAS
26%
20%
54%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
SOL
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
7 - 0
LCO
93%
6%
2%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SER
3 - 3
BAS
35%
21%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFF-FFV Fribourg U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFF
3 - 1
THU
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 2
AFF
16%
18%
67%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 2
AFF
66%
17%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFF
2 - 2
NEX
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 4
AFF
19%
19%
63%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |