FC Barreirense vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
SCP
7 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 1
BEL
16%
18%
66%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
FCP
6 - 2
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 1
OLH
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
10 - 1
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 3
APO
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
BEL
0 - 1
VIT
84%
9%
7%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
OLH
6 - 2
VIT
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |