FC Barreirense vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
0 - 1
FCB
51%
23%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 1
FAB
62%
20%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 1
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
3 - 1
LGC
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ATL
0 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
BEL
20%
23%
58%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
CAL
4 - 2
ORI
56%
21%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |