FC Barreirense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCB
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 2
PIN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCC
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
FCB
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 2
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 1
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |