FC Barreirense vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 2
FCB
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FCB
2 - 3
LEX
52%
22%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
FCB
65%
19%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
1 - 2
VIT
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
BEL
19%
23%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
21%
23%
57%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SPB
0 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 3
SCP
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |