FC Barreirense vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
GFC
1 - 0
FCB
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 0
FCB
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FCB
2 - 2
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1986 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 2
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
FCM
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
RIO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
EST
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EST
2 - 1
SPC
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
0 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |