FC Barreirense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCB
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCP
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 2
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 4
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 5
VST
46%
22%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAL
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEL
19%
23%
59%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |