Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
FC Barreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 2
VIT
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
5 - 1
FCB
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 5
FCP
10%
22%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 1
ACA
14%
23%
64%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1968 |
JUV
0 - 1
SLB
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 0
JUV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |