Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 2-6
FC Barreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1952 |
FCB
5 - 1
JUV
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 3
FCB
23%
21%
57%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 1
FCB
40%
20%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
FCB
6 - 1
ORI
57%
19%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
FCB
1 - 2
SCP
18%
19%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1952 |
SPC
2 - 2
SLB
25%
20%
56%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SLB
8 - 2
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |