FC Barreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
FCB
2 - 0
LEC
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
APO
6 - 0
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 4
FCB
71%
16%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 4
SCP
17%
18%
66%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 2
VIT
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FCP
4 - 1
SLB
66%
17%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
SLB
8 - 1
OLH
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |