FC Barreirense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1939 |
APO
3 - 2
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
FCB
87%
8%
5%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 2
BEL
29%
21%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 4
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
APO
3 - 4
SLB
14%
18%
69%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |