FC Barreirense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPC
52%
23%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 1
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 4
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
SCP
4 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
4 - 2
SPC
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |