Europa League Last 16
Global 3-1
Baník Ostrava vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
NAP
0 - 2
BAN
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
BAN
2 - 0
NAN
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
BAN
4 - 0
RSO
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
RSO
0 - 1
BAN
65%
17%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
NAP
2 - 6
JUV
29%
29%
43%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
NAP
0 - 2
BAN
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
NAP
5 - 0
CAG
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
CES
0 - 0
NAP
36%
31%
33%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |