Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Baník Ostrava vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
BAN
1 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1974 |
NAP
0 - 2
BAN
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
BAN
2 - 0
NAN
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
BAN
4 - 0
RSO
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
MSV
1 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
MON
3 - 0
KAI
79%
13%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
TEN
1 - 4
MON
13%
20%
68%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
MON
3 - 0
EIN
76%
14%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1975 |
MON
3 - 5
KOL
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |