Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-6
Baník Ostrava vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 0
ESK
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
JAB
1 - 1
BAN
33%
26%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
LEV
5 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 2
TEP
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
BAN
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 3
LEV
7%
17%
76%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RTV
2 - 2
LEV
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
LEV
5 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
LEV
2 - 1
HAN
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 0
LEV
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |