FC Balzers vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
10º
1º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCB
29%
20%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 2
UST
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 3
FCB
25%
20%
55%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 1
FRA
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
2 - 4
FCB
23%
19%
59%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 1
WID
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
UST
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVS
0 - 1
FCT
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 2
FRA
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |