Bagnols-Pont vs Union Saint-Jean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
14º
20
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 1
COL
30%
24%
47%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
4 - 0
FBP
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FBP
3 - 3
ONE
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
FBP
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FBP
1 - 0
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Union Saint-Jean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USJ
1 - 1
BEA
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ONE
2 - 0
USJ
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
USJ
4 - 0
AGD
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
USJ
0 - 1
BAY
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |