Baar vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 2
FCB
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GOL
6 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
0 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
GUN
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 1
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 0
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 3
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |