Baar vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 3
FCB
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZUG
18%
21%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 2
FCB
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IBA
3 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
4 - 2
VED
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BUO
6 - 2
SAR
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 3
SAR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 1
RUS
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZUG
4 - 0
SAR
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |