Baar vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESC
39%
24%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LSS
0 - 2
FCB
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 4
EMM
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
VED
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BUO
2 - 2
IBA
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 1
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
RUS
1 - 1
IBA
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 7
IBA
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |