Baar vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VED
1 - 1
FCB
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 5
BUO
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 2
RUS
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ZUG
7 - 1
FCB
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCS
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VED
1 - 1
FCA
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 2
IBA
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAR
7 - 2
FCA
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |