Baar vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCB
55%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 2
EMM
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCB
50%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 2
VED
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BUO
3 - 0
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
BUO
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BUO
2 - 3
LSS
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 1
BUO
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BUO
3 - 0
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |