Baar vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 2
RUS
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ZUG
7 - 1
FCB
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 2
GOL
39%
24%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
FCB
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BUO
3 - 1
VED
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 3
BUO
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BUO
6 - 1
RUS
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ZUG
2 - 0
BUO
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BUO
3 - 4
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |