Ararat-Armenia vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 3
AVA
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 1
SHI
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 1
BAN
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZIM
0 - 3
AVA
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 3
ZIM
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
ZIM
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PET
4 - 1
ZIM
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SHF
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |