Ararat-Armenia vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
21%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
AVA
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
ARA
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
LER
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
LER
0 - 4
BAN
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
LER
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |