Ararat-Armenia vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
PYU
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 3
AVA
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 4
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 2
AVA
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 2
AVA
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NOA
2 - 0
LER
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LER
0 - 2
VAN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LER
0 - 0
SHI
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
LER
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
PYU
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |