Ararat-Armenia vs FC Van analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 1
PYU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 0
AVA
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
58%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 2
AVA
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 2
ARA
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
VAN
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VAN
4 - 0
SHI
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
NOA
3 - 1
VAN
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BKM
7 - 1
VAN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |