Ararat-Armenia vs FC Van analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
PYU
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 4
AVA
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
AVA
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 0
AVA
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
ARA
38%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
VAN
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
SHI
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 0
VAN
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
ALA
27%
24%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |