Ararat-Armenia vs Noah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
32
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
AVA
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
SHI
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
AVA
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 3
FCR
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
NOA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
0 - 2
BAN
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
2 - 0
NOA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |