FC Augsburg vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SAA
2 - 3
AUG
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
AUG
0 - 1
SCH
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ERF
1 - 0
AUG
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
AUG
2 - 0
WEH
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 0
AUG
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 1
ELV
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ESC
1 - 3
VFR
36%
24%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VFR
2 - 2
OFC
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
KAI
1 - 2
VFR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
VFR
3 - 2
SVS
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |