FC Augsburg vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
15º
12º
35
4º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 37% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
HOF
3 - 1
AUG
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HOL
5 - 1
AUG
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 2
LEV
10%
17%
73%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 2
AUG
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 2
AUG
39%
24%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
STU
2 - 2
AJA
65%
19%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
STU
0 - 1
STP
70%
17%
12%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
STU
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
STU
5 - 1
YOB
77%
15%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STU
3 - 2
FCU
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |