FC Augsburg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
15º
15º
0
16º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUG
4 - 1
ULM
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
AUG
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 2
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 4
AUG
12%
18%
70%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STP
0 - 2
HEI
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 3
STP
9%
15%
77%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
STP
3 - 0
ATL
15%
22%
63%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
STP
28%
23%
49%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |