FC Augsburg vs SpVg Marl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
AUG
2 - 0
RWL
73%
16%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
AUG
1 - 4
AAA
32%
25%
44%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1986 |
AUG
1 - 2
HOM
38%
23%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
MUN
1 - 5
AUG
80%
12%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1983 |
AUG
0 - 6
BYM
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
SpVg Marl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
PRE
5 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
MAR
3 - 2
FUL
75%
14%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
MAR
2 - 6
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
ERK
1 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 4
GUT
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |