FC Augsburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 0
BVB
15%
23%
62%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HAN
2 - 2
AUG
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AUG
3 - 0
HER
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
4 - 1
AUG
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 0
FCN
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
M05
2 - 1
FCN
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BVB
2 - 1
M05
66%
20%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
M05
4 - 0
KAI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
HOF
1 - 1
M05
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
M05
1 - 1
HAN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |