FC Augsburg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1976 |
RVO
4 - 4
AUG
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
AUG
4 - 0
SVS
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
SGF
2 - 0
AUG
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
AUG
3 - 4
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
M05
1 - 3
AUG
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 0
MUN
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
FSV
1 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 3
SSV
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
PIR
3 - 2
HOM
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
HOM
1 - 1
SAA
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |