Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 0-3
FC Augsburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 0
AUG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
KAI
1 - 1
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AUG
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FSV
1 - 1
AUG
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
AUG
2 - 0
MSV
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 0
AUG
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 0
KOL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
HSV
4 - 0
FCN
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCN
2 - 3
BVB
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 1
FCN
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |